Posted on March 16, by Scott Alexander [Epistemic status: Heritable mostly means genes.
Trump supporters claim an academic study shows proof of hundreds of thousands of illegitimate votes for Hillary Clinton in the election. CLAIM An academic study cited by conservative news organizations and the Trump administration proved that Hillary Clinton received more thannon-citizen votes in the presidential election.
Hillary Clinton garnered more thanvotes from non-citizens on Nov. Political scientist Jesse Richman of Old Dominion University in Norfolk, Virginia, has worked with colleagues to produce groundbreaking research on non-citizen voting, and this week he posted a blog in response to Mr.
Based on national polling by a consortium of universities, a report by Mr. He extrapolated that that percentage would have addednet votes for Mrs.
Clinton, who received about 2. Chattha, and David C. Its large number of observations 32, in and 55, in provide sufficient samples of the non-immigrant sub-population, with non-citizen respondents in and in For the CCES, we also attempted to match respondents to voter files so that we could verify whether they actually voted.
How many non-citizens participate in U. More than 14 percent of non-citizens in both the and samples indicated that they were registered to vote. Furthermore, some of these non-citizens voted.
Our best guess, based upon extrapolations from the portion of the sample with a verified vote, is that 6. Because non-citizens tended to favor Democrats Obama won more than 80 percent of the votes of non-citizens in the CCES samplewe find that this participation was large enough to plausibly account for Democratic victories in a few close elections.
Donald Trump recently suggested that his deficit in the popular vote to Clinton might be due entirely to illegal votes cast, for instance by non-citizens. Is this claim plausible? The claim Trump is making is not supported by our data. Here I run some extrapolations based upon the estimates for other elections from my coauthored paper on non-citizen voting.
The basic assumptions on which the extrapolation is based are that 6. These were numbers from our study for the campaign. Obviously to the extent that critics of my study are correct the first number percentage of non-citizens who voted may be too high, and the second number percentage who voted for Clinton may be too low.
The count of the popular vote is still in flux as many states have yet to certify official final tallies.
Here I used this unofficial tally linked by Real Clear Politics. As of this writing Trump is 2, votes behind Clinton in the popular vote. There is no way it could have. Is it plausible that non-citizen votes account for the entire nation-wide popular vote margin held by Clinton?
It makes it sound like I have done a study concerning the election. What extrapolation I did to the election was purely and explicitly and exclusively for the purpose of pointing out that my study of the election did not provide evidence of voter fraud at the level some Trump administration people were claiming it did.
I do not think that one should rely upon that extrapolation for any other purpose.Journal of Gang Research | Citations: 5 | Read articles with impact on ResearchGate, the professional network for scientists.
This study is an explorative and descriptive account of the. Some groups, like Japan’s Yakuza, are highly organized and hierarchical, allowing economists and crime fighters in Japan to attribute much higher revenue totals to Yakuza groups than others. well, I know this area like the back of my hand, and I can say with authority that this little "detour" will add about 1 1/2 hours to anybody's leslutinsduphoenix.com well, being friday of the long weekend, and with all the folks heading to their cottages, I can guarantee some form of carnage as these secondary highways are not in the greatest leslutinsduphoenix.com is one f#$%ed up situation, and it sure.
The easy accessibility of computers and the anonymous nature of the Internet have created new ways to perform illegal actions. Security measures are always being created to help prevent problems from occurring, but knowledge is the key to prevent us from becoming a victim. Read on to learn about the top five computer crimes that occur worldwide.
The loss to society by tax evasion and corporate crime by some of the wealthiest multinational companies and individuals is enormous. This page explores issues such as tax avoidance, tax shelters, transfer pricing, corporate welfare, and more. Neither the U.S. Department of Justice nor any of its components operate, control, are responsible for, or necessarily endorse, this website (including, without limitation, its content, technical infrastructure, and policies, and any services or tools provided).